If you only read the headlines, this fall looks like a slow, balanced market, and GTA-wide that is true. But "the market" is an average of hundreds of neighbourhoods, and some of them are behaving like it is 2021. We looked at every home that firmed up in the last 60 days to find where sellers still have the upper hand, and how much.
What a seller's market looks like in the numbers
Three signs, all measured on homes that actually sold: the typical home sells in two weeks or less, a large share sells within 7 days (usually on an offer date), and the typical sale closes at about 99% of asking or more, with close to half selling at or over the list price. Across the GTA right now only about 1 home in 8 sells within a week, and the typical sale gives up about 3% from asking. That is a balanced market, not a hot one.
| Region | Days to sell (median) | Sold within 7 days | Sale price vs asking (median) | At or over asking | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durham | 21 | 13% | 97.8% | 25% | 1,119 |
| Toronto | 24 | 15% | 97.1% | 23% | 3,492 |
| Halton | 24 | 12% | 96.9% | 15% | 1,025 |
| Peel | 25 | 9% | 96.9% | 18% | 1,779 |
| York | 26 | 11% | 96.9% | 24% | 1,797 |
Durham is the quickest region, and within it Whitby (a median of about 17 days), Ajax (19) and Clarington (20) are the fastest municipalities in the GTA. But no whole region is a seller's market. For that you have to go neighbourhood by neighbourhood.
Toronto: the east end is where homes still go in days
Neighbourhoods where the typical home sold at about 99% of asking or better, with at least 15 sales in the last 60 days:
| Neighbourhood | Days to sell | Within 7 days | Price vs asking | At or over asking | Typical price | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greenwood-Coxwell (E01) | 7 | 61% | 101.3% | 56% | $1,150,000 | 18 |
| East End-Danforth (E02) | 10 | 41% | 100.1% | 55% | $1,025,000 | 22 |
| Mount Pleasant East (C10) | 9 | 44% | 99.8% | 48% | $1,550,000 | 25 |
| High Park North (W02) | 15 | 24% | 100.0% | 53% | $1,075,000 | 17 |
| Corso Italia-Davenport (W03) | 9 | 35% | 99.3% | 41% | $1,140,000 | 17 |
| Danforth (E03) | 9 | 33% | 99.2% | 47% | $1,100,000 | 15 |
| The Beaches (E02) | 12 | 39% | 99.1% | 43% | $1,460,400 | 28 |
| Centennial Scarborough (E10) | 16 | 30% | 99.0% | 50% | $1,045,000 | 20 |
| Victoria Village (C13) | 14 | 27% | 98.8% | 47% | $720,000 | 15 |
| Lawrence Park North (C04) | 12.5 | 32% | 98.6% | 41% | $1,565,000 | 22 |
The pattern is familiar: established, walkable neighbourhoods of semis and older detached houses around the $1M–$1.2M mark, where supply is thin and buyers who want to be there compete for what comes up. In Greenwood-Coxwell, more than half of the homes that sold went at or over asking, and six in ten sold within a week.
Durham and York: the quick pockets in the 905
| Neighbourhood | Days to sell | Within 7 days | Price vs asking | At or over asking | Typical price | Sales |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northeast Ajax | 14 | 27% | 99.6% | 47% | $995,000 | 15 |
| Angus Glen, Markham | 20 | 6% | 99.7% | 50% | $1,302,500 | 16 |
| Donevan, Oshawa | 16 | 22% | 99.1% | 43% | $645,000 | 23 |
| Oak Ridges Lake Wilcox, Richmond Hill | 17 | 24% | 99.0% | 47% | $1,085,000 | 17 |
| Courtice, Clarington | 15 | 26% | 98.7% | 28% | $737,000 | 53 |
| Pinecrest, Oshawa | 23 | 15% | 98.8% | 45% | $757,500 | 20 |
| Bowmanville, Clarington | 17 | 20% | 98.5% | 31% | $712,500 | 102 |
Two different stories here. Northeast Ajax, Courtice and Donevan are fast: a quarter of homes sell within a week, mostly family freeholds priced within reach of first move-up buyers. Angus Glen is different: homes take a normal three weeks, but when they sell, half go at or over asking. That is a sign of well-priced listings and patient buyers, not bidding wars.
What this means if you're selling
In these neighbourhoods an offer date still works, and pricing at or slightly under recent sales tends to be rewarded. Everywhere else, the typical home is giving up about 3% from its list price and sitting three to four weeks, and a listing priced above the latest comparables tends to sit. The same street can behave very differently from the city-wide average, so it's worth checking your own neighbourhood's numbers before you choose a list price.
What this means if you're buying
Outside these pockets you have time and room to negotiate. Inside them, be ready before the offer date: pre-approval in hand, a clear ceiling, and conditions you can live without. A home asking well under what similar homes sold for is usually priced to draw competing offers, so budget for the sold price, not the asking price.
Want your neighbourhood's numbers?
Tell us the street or community and we'll pull the same figures for your exact area and home type, with the homes that sold and what they sold for.
Analysis prepared by The Renavu Team from TRREB data: residential sales (detached, semi-detached, freehold and condo townhouses, condo apartments and links) across Durham, York, Toronto, Peel and Halton that firmed between July 26 and September 24, 2026, by the date the deal became firm. "Days to sell" is days on market; "price vs asking" is the sold price as a share of the final list price. Neighbourhoods need at least 15 sales to appear, and small samples can move quickly from month to month. Figures describe past market activity and are not a prediction or a guarantee of what any home will sell for.
